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Increase your chances of passing the CFA Institute CFA-Level-II exam questions on your first try. Practice with our free online CFA-Level-II exam mock test designed to help you prepare effectively and confidently.
Marie Williams, CFA, and David Pacious, CFA, are portfolio managers for Stillwell Managers. Williams and Pacious are attending a conference held by Henri Financial Education on the fundamentals of valuation for common stock, preferred stock, and other assets
During the conference, the presenter uses an example of four different companies to illustrate the valuation of common stock from the perspective of a minority shareholder.
During the conference, the presenter uses an example of four different companies to illustrate the valuation of common stock from the perspective of a minority shareholder.
* Firm A is a noncyclical consumer products firm with a 50 year history. The firm pays a $1.80 dividend per share and attempts to increase dividends by 4% a year. Earnings and dividends have steadily increased for the past
20 years.
* Firm B is a technology firm. It has never paid a dividend and does not expect to in the near future. Furthermore, due to large investments in new factories and equipment, the firm is not expected to generate positive free cash flow in the foreseeable future.
* Firm C is an industrial firm with currently very little competition and a dividend growth rate of 9% a year. However, the profits in its product market have started to attract competitors and it is expected that Firm C's profits will slowly decline such that the dividend growth steadily falls each year until it reaches a growth rate of 4% a year.
* Firm D is a pharmaceutical firm that is currently enjoying high profits and paying dividends. However, the firm's strongest selling drug is coming off patent in three years. With no other drugs in the pipeline, the firm's dividend growth rate is expected to drop abruptly in three years and settle at a lower growth rate.
The next day, Pacious decides to put what he learned into practice. The stock he is valuing, Maple Goods and Services, currently pays a dividend of $3.00. The dividend growth rate is 25% and is expected to steadily decline over the next 8 years to a stable rate of 7% thereafter. Given its risk, Pacious estimates that the required return is 5%.
Williams analyzes the value of Mataka Plastics stock. Its dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 18% for the next four years, after which it will grow at 4%. This year's dividend is $5.00 and Williams estimates the required return at 15%.
From the seminar, Pacious learned that a firm's health can be gauged by the present value of its future investment opportunities (PVGO). Tackling a calculation, he uses the following example for Wood Athletic Supplies:
Stock price $90.00
Current earnings $5.50
Expected earnings $6.00
Required return on stock 15%
Pacious and Williams discuss the characteristics of firms in various stages of growth, where firms experience an initial growth phase, a transitional phase, and a maturity phase in their life. They both agree that the Gordon Growth Model is not always appropriate. Pacious makes the following statements.
Statement I: For firms in the initial growth phase, earnings are rapidly increasing, there are little or no dividends, and there is heavy reinvestment. The return on equity is, however, higher than the required return on the stock, the free cash flows to equity are positive, and the profit margin is high.
Statement 2: When estimating the terminal value in the three-stage dividend growth model, it can be estimated using the Gordon Growth Model or a price-multiple approach.
Which of the following best describes the appropriate valuation techniques for the Henri presentation scenarios?
Henke Malfoy, CFA, is an analyst with a major manufacturing firm. Currently, he is evaluating the replacement of some production equipment. The old machine is still functional and could continue to serve in its current capacity for three more years. Tf the new equipment is purchased, the old equipment (which is fully depreciated) can be sold for $50,000. The new equipment will cost $400,000, including shipping and installation. If the new equipment is purchased, the company's revenues will increase by $175,000 and costs by $25,000 for each year of the equipment's 3-year life. There is no expected change in net working capital.
The new machine will be depreciated using a 3-year MACRS schedule (note: the 3-year MACRS schedule is 33.0% in the first year, 45% in the second year, 15% in the third year, and 7% in the fourth year). At the end of the life of the new equipment (i.e., in three years), Malfoy expects that it can be sold for $10,000. The firm has a marginal tax rate of 40%, and the cost of capital on this project is 20%. In calculation of tax liabilities, Malfoy assumes that the firm is profitable, so any losses on this project can be offset against profits elsewhere in the firm. Malfoy calculates a project NPV of-$62,574.
Suppose for this question only that Malfoy has forgotten to reflect a decrease in inventory that will result at the beginning of the project. The most likely effect on estimated project NPV of this error:
Ron Natin heads a committee that oversees the USA Insurance portfolio with total assets of $25 billion. The portfolio has 15% of total assets allocated to foreign investments, which include both international stocks and bonds. The committee has adopted a position that the domestic markets are efficient and thus, has indexed the domestic portion of the portfolio. Each unique asset class in the domestic portfolio has been benchmarked individually. The committee believes that foreign markets are less efficient and utilizes active managers for this asset class. The foreign allocation is 60% stocks and 40% bonds. The committee has divided the foreign stock portfolio equally among three different managers. The committee closely monitors the risk level of these managers by reviewing their portfolio betas (current betas: 1.1, 0.95, and 1.3).
As part of his committee responsibilities, Natin is required to review all reports and speeches prepared by other members of the committee before they are presented to the public. One of the committee members, Mclanie Henley, has submitted a speech on the subject of international diversification and the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) that she will give to a group of MBA students at a local university. Following are excerpts from her proposed speech:
International investment and diversification is an important concern in money management and, of the many relevant issues to discuss, there are two key insights that I will Take time to explain. First of all, it is essential to realize that the currency exposure of a foreign stock investment is the sensitivity of the stock price to a change in the value of the local currency and that a positive correlation between stock prices and the local currency would mean that the local stock price increases as a result of a depreciation of the local currency. Second, as future asset managers you should realize that improvements in a foreign nation's economic activity that result in an increase in real interest rates will decrease bond prices, but will be offset by an appreciation of the home currency.
The ICAPM is similar to the domestic CAPM in several ways. For example, both models assume that investors are risk-averse, preferring lower levels of risk and greater expected returns, that all investors have the same expectations for the risk and return of every asset, and that all investors should hold some combination of a risk-free asset and the market portfolio.
The IGAPM is a useful construct to determine asset prices in a global context. Strategies that depend explicitly on asset prices derived from the ICAPM can rely on these asset prices even if currency hedging is inhibited in certain markets by legal restrictions on such activities.
The committee monitors the investments of its equity managers by modeling the expected returns of each individual stock. The model used is (he ICAPM. One such stock, a Swiss medical equipment manufacturer, has a world beta of 1.2. The world market risk premium is 4%, and the Swiss franc offers a risk premium of 0.5%. The currency exposure is 0.5, and the applicable risk-free rate is 5%. The expected return on this stock according to the ICAPM model is closest to:
Mary Andrews and Drew McClure are economists for Gasden Econometrics. Gasden provides economic consulting and forecasting services for governments, corporations and small businesses. Andrews and McClure are currently consulting for the developing country of Wakulla, which is considering imposing new regulations on its businesses.
Due to increases in industrial production in the country, the demand for electricity has increased. Unfortunately the cost of electricity has increased as well, and the Wakullian government is considering regulating the electrical utility industry by limiting the amount producers can charge. The price limits would be established so that the utilities can set their own prices as long as they do not earn a return on invested capital that is higher than the average Wakullian business.
The Wakullian government has also proposed stiffer environmental regulations on its firms because the level of air quality has declined in its largest cities. Andrews advises that this regulation is likely to increase production costs that will burden smaller businesses more than larger businesses, and thus can adversely affect competition within an industry. The higher production cost from the environmental regulation will ultimately be borne by consumers, she asserts.
One of the concerns of the Wakullian government is that previous regulation of the economy has been ineffective. For example, when the automobile industry was required to increase the fuel efficiency of passenger vehicles, they increased the weight of some vehicles so more could be classified as trucks, instead of passenger vehicles. The trucks were not subject to the regulation and as a result, fuel efficiency actually declined in the country due to the heavier weight of trucks. McClure comments that the regulation should have been written so that the regulation would be more effective.
McClure gives another example of an ineffective regulation from the automobile industry. When airbags were required in automobiles, consumers started wearing their seat belt less often and driving at higher speeds because the airbags gave them a feeling of greater safety. Consequently, driving fatalities and injuries did not decline as much as expected.
Some regulation, Andrews states, is limited in effectiveness when the regulators are chosen from the industry that is regulated. For example, Andrews states that, due to the level of scientific knowledge needed, many regulatory bodies for the pharmaceutical industry are dominated by former drug company executives and scientists. She states that, according to the share-the-gains, share-the-pains theory, regulatory decisions tend to favor the drug industry because of the close relationship between the industry and the regulator.
McClure adds that another example of regulatory ineffectiveness is when telephone companies go before their regulatory bodies to ask for rate increases. He states ihat according to the capture hypothesis, telephone companies will have greater economic resources and more at stake than individual consumers. As a result, the regulatory decisions tend to favor the telephone industry.

Introduction
Rajesh Singh is the CFO of Goldensand Jewelry, Ltd, a London-based retailer of fine jewelry and watches. Singh has noticed that the price of gold has begun to increase. If economic activity continues to pick up, the price of gold is likely to accelerate its rate of increase as both the level of demand and inflation rates increase.
Implications of Rising Gold Price




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